SIGN ME UP FOR 30 DAYS OF FRESH COFFEE
CLICK HERE

By Marc Lawrence
Weekend, Dec 6-7

Despite losing five games this season, unranked (7-5) Duke will be playing for an ACC championship on Saturday at Bank of America Stadium.

The unranked Blue Devils rode the wave of some complicated ACC tiebreakers to earn a matchup against Virginia (10–2), ranked No. 16 in the AP Top 25 and No. 17 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings. If Virginia wins the game, the Cavaliers will likely make their first CFP appearance in program history. But if Duke wins, all hell breaks loose.

The biggest loser in this ACC title game scenario is Miami (10–2), ranked No. 12 in both the latest CFP rankings and the AP Top 25. The Hurricanes are arguably the ACC’s best shot at a national championship but likely will find themselves on the outside looking in at the 12-team CFP bracket, especially if Virginia wins the game.

Duke started the 2025 campaign 1–2 with losses to No. 11 Illinois and Tulane. They rattled off three wins to start conference play a perfect 3–0 before dropping three contests in a four-week span to No. 12 Georgia Tech, UConn and No. 19 Virginia.

With two weeks to go, Duke needed everything to go in its favor to have a shot at the ACC title game. And boy, did it ever. The Blue Devils beat North Carolina by a touchdown on Nov. 22, and last weekend unfolded exactly how they needed it to go: a 49–32 win over Wake Forest combined with Pitt losing 38–7 to Miami and SMU dropping a 38–35 nail-biter to Cal.

Five ACC teams finished the regular season with identical 6–2 records in conference play: Duke, Miami, Georgia Tech, SMU and Pitt. Of those teams, Duke only played the Yellow Jackets and lost 27–18 back on Oct. 18.

Due to the lack of common opponents for those five teams in the 17-team ACC, the tiebreaker to decide Virginia’s adversary came down to the fifth piece of criteria. It reads:

Combined win-percentage of conference opponents:

Duke was aided here by playing the toughest conference schedule among the five 6–2 teams. The Blue Devils’ eight conference opponents combined for a 32–32 record (.500), which beats the win percentage of opponents for Miami (28–36; .438), Georgia Tech (28–36; .438), SMU (27–37; .422) and Pitt (27–37; .422).

And just like that, the Blue Devils are heading to Charlotte on Saturday to play for an ACC championship with five losses on their résumé.

Somebody get me a barf bag.

Nevertheless, enjoy the games and good luck this weekend.

ON TODAY'S SCORECARD
Mmm Mmm Good, Indeed

MLC

Penn State fans, take a deep breath. After a bumpy search, you've got your guy.

After 54 days, the Nittany Lions settled on the Iowa State boss who maximizes talent at each stop.

ISU’s Matt Campbell is stepping in as the new head coach, and he's built to turn things around. At just 46, he's a proven winner who maximizes every resource.

If he can thrive in Ames, Iowa, imagine what he'll do in Happy Valley with Penn State's advantages.

Campbell's Track Record: From Turnaround Artist to Big 12 Powerhouse, Campbell isn't new to building programs from the ground up.

Here's his resume in simple terms:

Key Wins Toledo (Rockets) 2012–2015 35–15 (.700) Back-to-back MAC title games (2014, 2015); MAC Coach of the Year (2015) Iowa State (Cyclones) 2016–2025 72–55 (.567) 2 Big 12 title game appearances (including 2024); Fiesta Bowl win (2020); 3 Big 12 Coach of the Year awards (2017, 2018, 2020); 2 top-15 finishes.

Overall 15 seasons 107–70 (.605) 3 bowl wins; 12 players drafted in first 4 NFL rounds He inherited an Iowa State mess—8–28 over the three prior seasons—and by Year Two, they were bowl-bound.

Last year? An 11–3 stunner, including a Big 12 title game run. This is Iowa State's most successful era in 134 years.

Plus, he's a quarterback whisperer, spotting gems like Brock Purdy from nowhere and building complementary teams that grind out late-season surges.

Addressing the Critiques: Campbell draws flak for big-game slips: 4–6 vs. AP Top-10 teams and middling marks in one-score games or conference clashes. But zoom out—before him, Iowa State was 8–98–2 against Top-10 foes. That's not just improvement; it's a revolution. Compare to ex-Penn State coach James Franklin's 4–21 Top-10 record.

Campbell's no stranger to pressure, but he'll need to adapt to Penn State's talent pool—more four- and five-stars mean sharper evaluations.

And the spotlight? It's brighter in the Big Ten. Shocking losses hit harder here, with fans and media in overdrive. Most coaches adjust fine, but it's Campbell's one big unknown. Why Penn State Fits Campbell Like a Glove. This move checks every box for him.

Location & Recruiting Sweet Spot: From Massillon, Ohio (via Pitt and D-III champ Mount Union), he knows the Midwest recruiting trails Penn State must dominate.

League Upgrade: Big 12 battles honed him; Big Ten resources will unleash him.

Admin Support: Full backing from the top—unlimited tools to build sustainably.

Late-Bloomer Edge: He waited out the process, but his history screams "perfect fit."

Opposing coaches? They'd dread facing him in Happy Valley. The roster took hits post-Franklin (just two early signees), so expect portal magic and a rebuild grind. Revenue sharing and NIL? He'll master it, fielding a squad that punches above its weight—much like at Iowa State, but amplified.

This wasn't the flashiest search, but it's the smartest. Campbell won't just make Penn State a CFP staple—he'll snag those elusive Top-10 upsets Franklin couldn't. Give him time to gel, and the Nittany Lions roar back.

Beautiful day in the neighborhood? You bet. could ask for from the administration. Hard to beat that.

The Verdict: An A-Grade Hire.

It’s known as the “DAILY RACING
FORM OF FOOTBALL NEWSLETTERS”

Click here download a copy of this
weekend’s college and NFL game.


MLC



SONG OF THE WEEKEND

No. 1 Song This Weekend in 1986

It’d Just The Way It Is

Click Here to See and Hear It Now.

TRENDING TODAY
Rodgers Despair is Rare

MLC

Pittsburgh desperately needs a new long-term option at quarterback, but we have no reason to trust that this franchise knows how to get one (or develop one, for that matter). Pittsburgh hasn’t had a season in which its passing offense has performed above the 50th percentile in EPA or success rate since 2018. 

Aaron Rodgers production in recent games has been downright pathetic.

Since Week 10, Rodgers has ranked 32nd in the NFL in EPA per dropback, 30th in success rate, and 28th in yards per dropback.

More concerning, it appears that Rodgers has given up on the idea of playing the position as it’s intended to be played. He’s not throwing downfield, and he’s rarely holding on to the ball for longer than a few seconds.

Rodgers has just one completion over 15 air yards in the past month.

The four-time MVP is currently the all-time leader in passer rating and is in the top five in passing yards and touchdowns, and that’s easily enough to cement him as a first-ballot Hall of Famer.  

Rodgers has blamed some of Pittsburgh’s offensive struggles on his receivers, saying that they need to “show up to film sessions” and “run the right routes.” 

OK, maybe so, but Rodgers is playing some god-awful football right now.


GRINDING OUT THE PROFITS
At Last

Tennessee over CLEVELAND by 3

Myles Garrett continued his exceptional performance last week against San Francisco: He now has 14 sacks in his last five games and needs just four more to tie the NFL’s single-season record. However, the Browns’ offensive and defensive lines are severely battered. Starting defensive tackle Maliek Collins, enjoying his best season with 6.5 sacks, was carted off at the start of the second half. Cleveland lost another player along the line against the 49ers. Minutes after starting right tackle Jack Conklin was ruled out with a concussion, Browns’ starting defensive end Isaiah McGuire left the game with a leg injury. The Browns desperately need Collins back; his leadership is priceless. They are favored, a role in which they are 1-6 ATS over the past two seasons.

In other words, this is one of the best chances the Titans will have to win a game this season. Enter the Titans, the league’s only winless team ‘In The Stats’ (0-12 ITS). It’s so bad that rookie QB Cam Ward needed 38 throws to gain just 141 yards through the air against Jacksonville. Yuck. As Nate Davis of USA Today put it, “Woody Hayes would love the Tennessee Titans’ passing game – 3.7 yards and a cloud of dust.”

The well-oiled machine also notes that NFL regular-season road underdogs coming off three straight home losses are a strong long-term wager, with an 80-58-2 ATS record since 1980. Grab your clothespin and get ready – the Titans are set to win a game, finally!


QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Kites rise highest against the wind
- not with it.”

- Winton Churchill


STAT OF THE DAY
$3.3M

One bettor at BetMGM put $50,000 on the Bears earlier this season to win the Super Bowl at 66-1 odds. The bet would win
$3.3 million, which is currently the
largest reported futures bet for
Super Bowl LX at any legal U.S. sportsbook.




MLC

BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW
Top This

2-MINUTE HANDICAP -O/U STYLE
- By Victor King

This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play:Rams @ CARDINALS
OVER’ the TOTAL’

Rams: 4-1 OU L5 away vs Arz (50.6)... 3-1 OU in 2nd of BB RG... 3-1 OU off SU fav loss

Cardinals: 3-0 OU as dogs 6 > pts TY... 9-1 OU w/ sing revenge... 8-1-1 OU vs .750 > opp

lock


The Coffee Club is a presentation of PlaybookSports.com
Feel free to share this e-newsletter with friends.

Online: PlaybookSports.com • follow @MarcLawrence •  email: coffee@PlaybookSports.com • Office: 954.377.8000


lock Privacy Policy
Playbooksports.com will never share or sell your information for any reason.No Spam. No Hassle. Unsubscribe Anytime.


Playbook (R) and Marc Lawrence's Preferred Picks (R) are registered trademarks of Preferred Picks Publications Inc. Copyright (c) 2025c) Playbook(R) Enterprises Inc. Contact Support: 1-954-377-8000. All information contained herein is for amusement purposes only. Any contrary of such information is specifically prohibited.

 

Coffee In One Hand. Confidence In The Other. The Coffee Club Way.


SIGN ME UP FOR 30 DAYS OF FRESH COFFEE DELIVERED DAILY TO MY INBOX
CLICK HERE



About Us Contact Us Log In Member Center Create An Account Privacy Policy Store

Copyright © 2025 © Playbook® Enterprises Inc.   Contact Support:  1-954-377-8000  All Logos © to their respective organizations.
This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling.
All information contained herein is for amusement purposes only. Any contrary of such information is specifically prohibited.