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By Marc Lawrence
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Thursday, Jan 1 |
More than 20 years after being part of one of the biggest upsets in BCS history, Miami pulled off the biggest upset of the College Football Playoff era on New Year’s Eve.
The No. 10 Hurricanes defeated No. 2 Ohio State 24-14 in the Cotton Bowl, advancing to the semifinal round of the playoff. Miami was a 8 -point underdog at kickoff. Before Wednesday night, the biggest upset in playoff history — whether in the four-team format or the current 12-team setup — was Ohio State’s win over Alabama as a 7.5-point underdog on Jan. 1, 2015.
After Ohio State’s offense showed signs of life in the second half, Miami sealed the game much like they did against Texas A&M — with a power run game.
That marks consecutive wins as an underdog for Miami, making them the first CFP team to achieve this in back-to-back playoff contests.
For what it’s worth, the Canes have won outright as an underdog back-to-back times only five times since 1980. They have yet to pull off three surprises in a row, going 0-2 SUATS as a puppy looking for the hat trick.
NOTE: Like last Thursday’s Christmas edition of the Coffee Club, this New Year’s issue will also cover two days of sports news. We’ll be back with our weekend edition bright and early this Saturday morning.
Happy New Year to all and enjoy the day holiday! |
ON TODAY'S SCORECARD
What’s Happened to the SEC?

It has not been a great bowl season for the SEC.
The conference fell to 2-6 in bowl games after Vanderbilt’s ReliaQuest Bowl loss to Iowa yesterday. And one of the two wins came in a game the SEC literally had to win when Alabama beat Oklahoma in the first round of the College Football Playoff.
In addition to Oklahoma and Vandy, Texas A&M, Missouri, Tennessee, LSU have all also lost their bowl games. Ole Miss has the league’s other postseason win thanks to a victory over Tulane, and the Rebels take on Georgia in the Sugar Bowl on Thursday.
Texas got the league's third win of the season — and first over a power conference team — in the Citrus Bowl over Michigan. But if Mississippi State loses and Alabama loses to Indiana in the Rose Bowl, the SEC could be 4-8 in the postseason with one team remaining in the CFP.
On the flip side, the Big Ten is 7-4 this bowl season following Ohio State’s loss to Miami in the Cotton Bowl on New Year’s Eve. |
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GRINDING OUT THE PROFITS
Payback is a Bitch
SUGAR BOWL
Thursday, Jan 1
Georgia over Ole Miss by 1
Let’s start with a strong number: In a college Football Playoff rematch featuring teams from the same conference, the team that won the regular-season game is 0-4 ATS all-time in the rematch. The Bulldogs handed the Rebels their only loss this season, and the Ole Miss performance last week vs. Tulane carried an air of nastiness that appears to have festered in Oxford since Lane Kiffin’s departure. Ole Miss is 7-0 SU in games after a victory of eight or more points, plus an impressive 27-5 SU / 16-5-1 ATS in bowl games since 1986. Georgia has been resting since wiping out Alabama in the SEC title game and greater than .800 SEC teams who knock off the Tide are 0-5 ATS as the favorite in the next game. In the first matchup Mississippi led 35-26 after three quarters but faded badly in the fourth to lose 43-35 thanks to not being able to control the clock with the run game and failing to get their defense off the field on third down. Another major issue for Ole Miss is the health of RB Kewan Lacy, who suffered a shoulder injury during the Tulane win but returned. The Rebs have been tight-lipped about Lacy this week, so warily watch the medical updates because he’s a difference maker. Georgia and Mississippi will join Bama and LSU as ten time or greater Sugar Bowl teams, kind of like the Saturday Night Live Five Timers Club for five-time hosts. The issue is whether Ole Miss can match punch for punch with a heavyweight some experts believe will win it all. We’re counting on a 15-round split decision.
23-13 on ALL SIDES this season!
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TRENDING TODAY
Can You Digg It?
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The Dallas Cowboys released two-time Pro Bowl cornerback Trevon Diggs on Tuesday, just two years after his $97 million extension, amid ongoing tensions and injuries.
Reports indicate a final incident contributed: After the Cowboys' Christmas Day win over the Commanders, Diggs—a Maryland native—requested to stay in the D.C. area with family. Coach Brian Schottenheimer denied it, insisting the team travel together. Diggs stayed anyway, spending time with family and attending a Shy Glizzy concert the next day. While not the sole reason, it highlighted compliance issues in a relationship already strained by rehab disputes, scheme disagreements, and performance dips.
The move was described as a "culmination of multiple factors" on and off the field. Diggs, plagued by injuries since 2023 (including an ACL tear and 2025 knee/concussion issues), played only eight games this season with no interceptions.
One day later, on Wednesday, the Green Bay Packers claimed Diggs off waivers, bolstering their secondary for the playoffs.
Is it just us, or do the Diggs brothers—Trevon and Stefon—seem like two peas in a pod, repeatedly digging their own graves?
You can bet that one or both of them will be wearing an ankle bracelet before too long. |
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BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW
We’re Better Than You
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It has not been a great bowl season for the SEC.
The conference fell to 2-6 in bowl games after Vanderbilt’s ReliaQuest Bowl loss to Iowa yesterday. And one of the two wins came in a game the SEC literally had to win when Alabama beat Oklahoma in the first round of the College Football Playoff.
In addition to Oklahoma and Vandy, Texas A&M, Missouri, Tennessee, LSU have all also lost their bowl games. Ole Miss has the league’s other postseason win thanks to a victory over Tulane, and the Rebels take on Georgia in the Sugar Bowl on Thursday.
Texas got the league's third win of the season — and first over a power conference team — in the Citrus Bowl over Michigan. But if Mississippi State loses and Alabama loses to Indiana in the Rose Bowl, the SEC could be 4-8 in the postseason with one team remaining in the CFP.
On the flip side, the Big Ten is 7-4 this bowl season following Ohio State’s loss to Miami in the Cotton Bowl. |
STAT OF THE DAY
3-15-1 ATS |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers record on Saturdays since 1982,
including 0-7 ATS
in division games. |
QUOTE OF THE DAY |
"I'm not an alcoholic. I only drink two times a year.
When it's my birthday,
and when it's not my birthday."
- Bill Murray |
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