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By Marc Lawrence
Weekend, Mar 28 – March 29

I CAN SEE FOR MYLES
AND MYLES

MLC

Even after this week’s eyebrow-raising restructure of Myles Garrett’s contract — a move that pushes option payments closer to the season and conveniently opens the door to spend now or deal later — it’s still hard to picture Cleveland shipping out one of the greatest pass rushers in NFL history.

Then again… this is the Browns.

If teams want to mortgage their future by tossing around draft picks five years down the road, by all means — grab some popcorn and enjoy the wreckage.

This, after all, is the same franchise that brought you the Deshaun Watson saga… and now wants the flexibility to deal picks half a decade out. Bold? Sure. Sensible? That’s another story.

Delusion has a funny way of bulldozing common sense. It convinces teams they can rebuild tomorrow with the same blueprint that failed yesterday.

So go ahead, brace yourself.

Myles Garrett for five first-round picks?

Don’t laugh. In Cleveland, it might already be on the table.

FYI: See our new weekly Q&A below. Answer the question on teams trading away as many draft picks as they wish and we will begin printing those responses here in the Coffee Club on weekdays starting next week...

ON TODAY'S SCORECARD
Bombs Away

MLC

If it feels like we’ve been bombarded with 100-point explosions in this year’s Dance, it’s because we have.

Historically, 100+ point outbursts in the NCAA Tournament have been rare. Since 2002, they’ve shown up only sparingly—though the frequency has ticked up in the 2020s thanks to faster tempo, heavy three-point volume, and early-round mismatches.

Of course, we’ve seen this movie before. Back in the day, Paul Westhead’s Loyola Marymount teams turned the tournament into a track meet, hanging outrageous numbers like 149 and 119. Other firebrands—UNLV, Arkansas—joined the century club, but those eruptions were the exception, not the rule.

Fast forward to 2026, and the game has opened up again. This year’s opening round alone produced six triple-digit scorers. Then Arizona Wildcats piled on with a 109-88 blitz of Arkansas in the second round.

So, what happens next?

According to the Well-Oiled Machine, teams off a 100-point game have held their own:

  • 27-12 SU

  • 25-14 ATS

  • And if they covered in that blowout win? A sharp 22-8 ATS follow-up mark.

But here’s the catch—the market changes when the opponent does.

When these offensive juggernauts step up in class against No. 1 or No. 2 seeds:

  • 2-5 SU

  • 3-4 ATS

  • And none of the seven cracked 78 points

That’s the exact box Arizona steps into Saturday against Purdue Boilermakers—arguably the hottest team in the Dance and a preseason No. 1 for a reason.

So while the public piles on Arizona like white on rice, the deeper data whispers a different tune.

Buyer beware.


GRINDING OUT THE PROFITS
Philly Cheese Sandwich

Saturday, March 28

Philadelphia over CHARLOTTE by 6

Don’t look now, but this Eastern Conference clash is tighter than a drum. These two playoff hopefuls are separated by just one game in the standings—hovering between the dreaded No. 10 play-in line and climbing as high as the No. 4 seed. That’s how razor-thin the margin is in the East. The setup favors Philadelphia, which enters with a serious revenge chip after a 37-point humiliation (130-93) in the last meeting a month ago. In this role, the Sixers have responded—going 11-6 ATS on the road with same-season revenge off losses of 30+ points. Meanwhile, the Stingers arrive off a Same Season Double Revenge (SSR2) battle against the Knicks on Thursday—hardly an ideal spot. With all signs pointing one way, we seal the deal with THE CLINCHER: Philadelphia has flat-out owned this series going 28-3 SU in the last 31 meetings.

Extracted from this week’s

Playbook NBA Only Newsletter

Click here to Download your Copy


STAT OF THE DAY
1

The number of times the Houston
Cougars went to the free throw line
in their disappointing 65-55 loss to
Illinois in their Sweet 16-Round
matchup.

MLC



TRENDING TODAY
SIMPLY ELITE

MLC

From the 2026 Playbook Sweet 16 Tourney Guide comes these need-to-know trends on the Elite 8 Round. Study them before you make a move...

• #1 Seeds are 12-4 ATS L8Y
• #2 Seeds are 0-5 ATS L3Y
• #3 Seeds are 5-16 ATS L18Y
• #4 Seeds are 2-5 ATS L10Y
• #5 Seeds are 10-1 ATS
• #6 Seeds are 0-5 ATS L13Y
• #9 Seeds are 3-1 ATS
• Teams with same-season single revenge are    9-2-2 ATS
• Favs of 10 > pts are 0-5-1 ATS
• Dogs off an ATS loss are 2-5 ATS L12Y

Best Conference ATS records in this round

A-10: 6-0-1, SEC: 4-1-1 as favs > 7 pts, Big 12: 4-1 as dogs, ACC: 10-3 as favs > 3 pts, Big East: 10-4 as dogs.

Worst Conference ATS records in this round

Big 10: 0-6 as favs 4 > pts, SEC: 4-15 vs opp off ATS win, AAC: 2-6-1. Big 12: 4-12-1 as favs.


PERCOLATING

Mel Says

ESPN analyst Mel Kiper Jr. isn’t afraid to offer his opinion on Shedeur Sanders, that’s for sure.

As Sanders was sliding down the board during the 2025 NFL Draft, Kiper ripped all 32 teams for letting his top-rated quarterback fall to the fifth round.

Before the Colorado product was officially selected, he fired off this blunt message on national television: “The NFL has been clueless for 50 years when it comes to evaluating quarterbacks.”

With rumors abounding that Cleveland is entertaining Alabama QB Ty Simpson, Kiper warns, “Don’t go there”

Could Sanders win this battle in camp? Absolutely, but it won’t be easy. He’ll need to prove he’s a significantly better option than Dillon Gabriel and Deshaun Watson.

Of course, the Browns could make things even more complicated for Sanders by drafting another quarterback this April. However, that move would probably set Kiper off.


QUOTE OF THE DAY

"You don’t have to be brilliant, only
a little bit wiser than the other guys,
on average, for a long, long time."

- Charlie Munger


SONG OF THE WEEKEND

Can’t Beat These Moves

No. 1 song this week in 1984


Click Here to See and Hear It Now


Q & A

We Want to Know

MLC

Question: Should The NFL Let Delusional Teams Trade As Many Draft Picks As They Want?

Your Reply: Click Here

We will reply to the best answers on weekdays, starting next week.

MLC

 


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