SIGN ME UP FOR 30 DAYS OF FRESH COFFEE
CLICK HERE

By Marc Lawrence
Weekend, May 2-3

CALL TO THE POST
MLC

My dear friend and horse race handicapping guru, John Pricci of HorseRaceInsider.com shares his keen insight on Saturday’s Run for the Roses – aka the Kentucky Derby.

These are the four horses he will be involved with in the big race.

Pay close attention.

EMERGING MARKET (15-1) has inexperience history to overcome but times have changed. Could not have been more impressive visually in two turner runs and sports the best classic pedigree in this group. Freshness, style, post, Prat all positive angles. Need 9-1.

RENEGADE (4-1) draws dreaded rail, but Irad Ortiz is skilled enough to overcome it, assuming he jumps well from the barrier. Has developed an explosive late turn of foot, is on a positive forward pattern, showing desired incremental improvement. Another forward move wins this.

CHIEF WALLABEE (8-1) also lightly raced, with three starts, was game third between horses in FLA Derby stretch, showing greenness. On went blinkers for Bill Mott and he worked 7 furlongs in 1:25 at CD—old school Charlie Whittingham. Looks explosive but will need to be.

FURTHER ADO (6-1) to bounce or not to bounce is the $5M question. The fastest horse ran 1 negative 1 at 2, and a negative 2 burying his Blue Grass rivals. He bounced the first time and this one ‘s faster. The positive is he worked like a beast over this track. Wide draw, Johnny and Cox; all good.

Go to HorseRaceInsider.com immediately for his complete breakdown, key angles, and every tool you need to hit the winner’s circle on Saturday.

Best of luck — now let’s go cash some tickets this weekend.

ON TODAY'S SCORECARD
Arch Manning’s Revenge Tour

MLC

The hardest day of the year for NFL draft fans—the final day of that year’s event—doubles as one of the most exciting.

It’s the end of one evaluation period, often a year’s worth of time and energy spent watching prospects, learning about their stories and projecting their best fits. But it’s also the chance to turn the page toward a new crop of players and unearth summer-scouting gems before others do.

Part of the glory of the draft, however, is that teams are already a few months into next year’s class. And there’s plenty of excitement about the talent and potential within the 2027 prospect base.

After two consecutive down years, the quarterback class is shaping up to be special. There are elite prospects—generational is overused, but you get the idea—such as Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith, Notre Dame cornerback Leonard Moore and Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons. There are several players who could’ve been top-50 picks in 2026 but opted to return and could be fixtures in 2027.

And there are many others who won’t make any appearances on summer big boards or in early mock drafts.

These are the first handful of players Sports Illustrated projects in its way-too-early 2027 Mock Draft:

1. Arizona Cardinals: Dante Moore, QB, Oregon

The Cardinals did a ton of homework on the quarterbacks in the 2026 class before taking Miami’s Carson Beck in the third round, but that shouldn’t dissuade them from tapping into an elite crop of passers. Moore was in the QB1 race this past cycle before returning to Oregon. The 6' 3", 206-pounder showed impressive poise as a redshirt sophomore, and he pairs a big right arm with anticipation, accuracy and athleticism. He has the makings of a franchise quarterback and the mental capacity to handle QB1 hype.

2. Miami Dolphins: Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State

If the Dolphins are, in fact, picking No. 2 next spring, it’s fair to wonder what that means for Malik Willis’s first season as the team’s starting quarterback. But Willis is set to earn $21.5 million guaranteed in 2027, and Miami certainly hopes he’ll be its starter at that price. Smith is nothing short of a phenom. At 6' 3" and 223 pounds, he’s big and strong but also fast and fluid in space, and he has tremendous ball skills. Smith would’ve been WR1 in 2026 had he been eligible, and he’ll likely end as the best overall player in 2027.

3. New York Jets: Arch Manning, QB, Texas

The Jets drafted Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik in the fourth round, and they have Geno Smith set as their bridge signal-caller this fall. Neither should dissuade them from tapping into what projects as a loaded quarterback class in 2027. Manning hit his stride in the second half last year, which was his first as a full-time starter. He has prototypical size at 6' 4" and 220 pounds, and he matches a strong arm with good touch and ball placement. Manning is still developing his processing skills, but he’s a quality runner with an exciting blend of size, athleticism and arm talent.

4. Las Vegas Raiders: Cam Coleman, WR, Texas

The Raiders hope they found their franchise quarterback in Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza, the No. 1 pick in the 2026 draft. They filled plenty of roster holes with coach Klint Kubiak’s first draft class, but they still lack a go-to receiver for Mendoza. Enter Coleman, who transferred to Texas after two years at Auburn. The 6' 3", 201-pound Coleman is big, strong and fast, and he’s made some incredible catches through his first two college seasons. He’d be a welcome addition for Mendoza’s weaponry.

5. Cleveland Browns: LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina

The Browns, once again, have a roster full of quarterbacks but no clear solution under center. Moore and Manning will be widely viewed as the top two quarterbacks entering the 2026 season, but there’s contention over QB3. Sellers has elite physical tools—at 6' 3" and 240 pounds, he’s big, athletic and has a huge arm. South Carolina’s protection failed Sellers last season, and it created a few bad habits with his pocket presence, but if he can right his wrongs, he absolutely has the traits worthy of a top-five pick.

Click here to read SI’s complete 2027 Mock Draft.


GRINDING OUT THE PROFITS
Typhoon Warning

Moving forward, the ‘Grinding Out the Profits’ section in the Coffee Club will share exclusive insight into the 2026 College Football season directly from the 2026 Playbook Football Preview Guide magazine. Check out today’s insight:

STAT YOU WILL LIKE’:

New Northwestern Offensive Coordinator Chip Kelly is 1-21 SU/2-20 ATS in his college football head coaching career in games in which his team fails to score 24 points.

MLC

Order yours today before they are gone!


QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Men are governed by lines of intellect - women: by curves of emotion."

- James Joyce


SONG OF THE WEEKEND

Taking it to Another Level

No. 1 song this week in 1969

Jojo left his home in Tucson, Arizona
For some California grass

Click Here to See and Hear It Now

TRENDING TODAY
Cowboys, Eagles and Pickens


MLC

After the most tanking-filled season in NBA history, the league seems to have settled on a plan to fight the scourge of racing to the bottom of the standings.

The "3-2-1" lottery: The crux of the proposal is to expand the draft lottery from 14 to 16 teams and give each team either one, two or three ping-pong balls, significantly flattening the odds of landing the No. 1 pick and penalizing the teams with the worst records.

  • 8.1% chance at the top pick: The teams with the 4th through 10th worst records (those who missed the play-in) would each get three ping-pong balls, giving them an 8.1% chance of winning the lottery. That's down from a maximum of 14% in the current system.

  • 5.4% chance: The teams with the three worst records, as well as all four teams who play in the 9 vs. 10 play-in games, would get two ping-pong balls for a 5.4% chance.

  • 2.7% chance: The two losing teams in each 7 vs. 8 play-in game would get just one ping-pong ball for a 2.7% chance. The winners of the 7-8 play-in would not be in the lottery.

The relegation zone: Reiterating the middle bullet above, this system implements what the league is calling "draft relegation," wherein the bottom three teams do not have the best odds of landing the top pick.

The hope is that should incentivize non-playoff teams to stay competitive late in the season, and would make the NBA the first of North America's "Big Four" leagues to officially penalize its worst teams in the standings.

That latter provision would have impacted a number of current playoff rosters, most notably in San Antonio where the Spurs would not have been able to draft all three of Victor Wembanyama (No. 1 in 2023), Stephon Castle (No. 4 in 2024) and Dylan Harper (No. 2 in 2025).



MLC

Marc is red-hot hot in this postseason and is currently the No.1 ratedhandicapper by the
Sports Monitor
in Oklahoma.


BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW

Finding a Needle in a Haystack

MLC

When the process for the 2026 Kentucky Derby began roughly a year ago with the arrival of a new 2-year-old crop, Yahoo Sports identified 34 colts bought at auctions in 2024 and 2025 intended for Bob Baffert’s renowned Triple Crown program that cost a total of $26.7 million.

The most expensive of that group, a horse named Faran — purchased by Zedan for $3.4 million — still hasn’t raced and hasn’t recorded a public workout since last November. Another $3 million Zedan purchase named Brant started with promise, winning the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity last fall at seven furlongs, but was knocked off the Kentucky Derby trail in March after a fifth-place finish in a prep race for the Santa Anita Derby.

And while Litmus Test — an $875,000 purchase — emerged from the mega-partnership between SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables and others as a Derby horse, some of their more expensive purchases like Kelce ($850k) and Stellenbosch ($1.05 million) have yet to race. Others like Falcon Jet ($750,000) proved to not be capable of running at that level and were transferred to other trainers.

We probably buy 20 to 22 yearlings every year,” said Mike Ryan a well-known bloodstock agent. “And we probably end up with four or five horses that we would think have the ability to run around in [Derby] preps.”

That doesn’t mean the strategy is a waste of money. Some of those horses could develop later and become a factor in the fall or as 4-year-olds. Some that failed on the Derby trail will find more success as sprinters or milers, divisions that have plenty of lucrative races. If even one is good enough to become a stallion prospect, the partnership will recoup millions and make up for some of the horses that don’t live up to their purchase price.

You’re thinking Derby, but you’re buying 20 horses so you need 19 other options,” Ryan said. “It doesn’t make them any less valuable, but they can’t win the Triple Crown. We try our best. It’s a game where you’re wrong a lot more than you’re right. You have to be right enough times to stay in business.”

And despite the millions spent in pursuit of one-horse race, the paradox of the Derby is that there’s often very little relationship between purchasing power and being right.

See our STAT OF THE DAY below for more on these Kentucky Derby horses.


STAT OF THE DAY
$8,569,680

The total purchase price of 16 of the 20 horses in today’s Kentucky Derby field. Note that 4 of them were homebred.

 


The Coffee Club is a presentation of PlaybookSports.com
Feel free to share this e-newsletter with friends.

Online: PlaybookSports.com • follow @MarcLawrence •  email: coffee@PlaybookSports.com • Office: 954.377.8000


lock Privacy Policy
Playbooksports.com will never share or sell your information for any reason.No Spam. No Hassle. Unsubscribe Anytime.


Playbook (R) and Marc Lawrence's Preferred Picks (R) are registered trademarks of Preferred Picks Publications Inc. Copyright (c) 2026c) Playbook(R) Enterprises Inc. Contact Support: 1-954-377-8000. All information contained herein is for amusement purposes only. Any contrary of such information is specifically prohibited.
lock

 

Coffee In One Hand. Confidence In The Other. The Coffee Club Way.




About Us Contact Us Log In Member Center Create An Account Privacy Policy Store

Copyright © 2026 © Playbook® Enterprises Inc.   Contact Support:  1-954-377-8000  All Logos © to their respective organizations.
This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling.
All information contained herein is for amusement purposes only. Any contrary of such information is specifically prohibited.