ON TODAY'S SCORECARD
Gimme Five

It was Arizona’s largest loss in the Final Four in school history.
Meanwhile, Michigan will be aiming to win its first title since 1989, while UConn seeks to claim its third title in the last four years.
With it, the Wolverines become only the second team in NCAA Tournament history to score 95 or more points in each of its five games before the championship game.
Five Positive Trends in Michigan’s favor:
• The last five teams in the March Madness title game to score over 90 points in their Final Four game are 5-0 SU/ATS.
• Only the third title game since 1990 where both teams won their previous Final Four game outright as underdogs. FYI: The favorite has gone 2-0 SU/ATS in these games.
• Teams arriving in championship games after back-to-back underdog wins are 2-8 ATS/3-7 ATS.
• No. 1 seeds are 4-1 SU/ATS versus No. 2 seeds since 1995.
Five Positive Trends in UConn’s favor:
• The Huskies are 6-0 SU/ATS in their last six NCAA tournament championship games.
• UConn has gone 70-18 SU/55-32-1 ATS in this event since 1991 title games.
• Connecticut is 18-1 SU/ATS in this tournament over the past four seasons, including 15-0 SU/ATS from the Round of 32 onward.
• Head coach Danny Hurley is 7-0 SU/ATS in his last seven games against Big Ten opponents.
Five Negative Trends against Michigan:
• Michigan is 1-6 all-time in NCAA national championship games (their only win came in 1989). They’ve lost their last four straight title games.
• No Big Ten team has won the national title since 2000 (Michigan State), adding more conference-level historical pressure.
• Big Ten teams are 0-9 SU/ATS in NCAA championship games versus No. 3 or higher seeds.
• Big Ten teams are 7-17 SU/6-18 ATS versus other Big Ten foes in this tournament since 2008.
• This is the best defense Michigan will face in the tournament this season.
Five Negative Trends against UConn:
• This is the highest-scoring team UConn will face in the tournament this season.
• Danny Hurley’s teams are 20-41 SU/19-69 ATS in games when they give up more than 77 points—including 0-9 SU/ATS in the last two seasons, including 0-14 SU/ATS over the past 14 games, or 2-8 ATS when they allow 90 or more points.
• Teams facing a third straight opponent from the same conference are 8-14 SU/7-15 ATS in this tournament since 1985.
• The Huskies have scored 106 fewer points in this tournament than Michigan—an average of 20.1 points fewer per game.
• Hurley is just 8-55 outright in games as a dog of more than 4 points.
On the injury front: Both teams face the risk of losing a key player to a serious injury: UM’s Yaxel Lendeborg, star senior forward/center, with a sprained MCL, and UConn’s guard Solo Ball, who is in a walking boot.
Danny Hurley summed it up well when he warned, “We are a group of fighters. We are incredibly tough. We’ve got incredible will. We go into these games, we’re ready for battle.”
Closing note: If the closing game line is Michigan -7.5 or more, it will be only the third time since 1990 that the championship game favored a team by more than 7 points. FYI: the other two times, each team lost the betting and split outright at 1-1.
It’s game time! |